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WPCNR GOVERNOR’S CORONA VIRUS REPORT. From Governor Hochul’s Press Office. November 30, 2021:

“With the arrival of winter when more people are traveling and gathering indoors, and the emergence of the Omicron variant, we are reminded that we cannot let our guard down in our fight to stop the spread of COVID-19,” Governor Hochul said. “We are not defenseless, vaccinations and testing are the best tools we have in preventing further spread of the virus and its variants. If you have yet to get your vaccine, go out and do so as soon as you can and if you’re due for your booster, doses are readily available across the state. Wear a mask, wash your hands, and stay safe as we head into the winter season.”

Monday’s data is summarized briefly below:

· Test Results Reported – 99,430

· Total Positive – 5,277
· Percent Positive – 5.31%

· 7-Day Average Percent Positive – 4.12%
· Patient Hospitalization – 2,829 (+73)
· Patients Newly Admitted – 335
· Patients in ICU – 556 (+18)
· Patients in ICU with Intubation – 304 (+6)
· Total Discharges – 215,237 (+237)
· New deaths reported by healthcare facilities through HERDS – 41
· Total deaths reported by healthcare facilities through HERDS – 46,484

The Health Electronic Response Data System is a NYS DOH data source that collects confirmed daily death data as reported by hospitals, nursing homes and adult care facilities only.

· Total deaths reported to and compiled by the CDC – 59,168

This daily COVID-19 provisional death certificate data reported by NYS DOH and NYC to the CDC includes those who died in any location, including hospitals, nursing homes, adult care facilities, at home, in hospice and other settings.

· Total vaccine doses administered – 29,683,176
· Total vaccine doses administered over past 24 hours – 56,924
· Total vaccine doses administered over past 7 days – 533,203
· Percent of New Yorkers ages 18 and older with at least one vaccine dose – 85.8%
· Percent of New Yorkers ages 18 and older with completed vaccine series – 78.3%
· Percent of New Yorkers ages 18 and older with at least one vaccine dose (CDC) – 90.3%
· Percent of New Yorkers ages 18 and older with completed vaccine series (CDC) – 80.5%
· Percent of all New Yorkers with at least one vaccine dose – 74.1%
· Percent of all New Yorkers with completed vaccine series – 66.4%
· Percent of all New Yorkers with at least one vaccine dose (CDC) – 77.5%
· Percent of all New Yorkers with completed vaccine series (CDC) – 68.2%

Each region’s 7-day average of cases per 100K population is as follows:

Region	Friday, November 26, 2021	Saturday, November 27, 2021	Sunday, November 28, 2021
Capital Region	51.37	50.46	49.60
Central New York	45.74	40.97	40.84
Finger Lakes	59.60	54.88	54.27
Long Island	31.21	33.31	34.30
Mid-Hudson	23.48	23.99	24.38
Mohawk Valley	59.34	56.55	56.40
New York City	16.01	16.48	16.43
North Country	53.53	52.71	53.53
Southern Tier	52.76	47.82	48.38
Western New York	72.51	68.15	65.25
Statewide	32.00	31.48	31.39

Each region’s 7-day average percentage of positive test results reported over the last three days is as follows:

Region	Friday, November 26, 2021	Saturday, November 27, 2021	Sunday, November 28, 2021
Capital Region	7.08%	7.62%	7.75%
Central New York	6.90%	6.68%	6.84%
Finger Lakes	9.41%	9.61%	9.62%
Long Island	4.43%	4.62%	4.78%
Mid-Hudson	3.30%	3.39%	3.51%
Mohawk Valley	9.25%	9.30%	9.51%
New York City	1.69%	1.81%	1.85%
North Country	8.33%	8.92%	9.08%
Southern Tier	5.39%	5.81%	5.92%
Western New York	10.15%	10.30%	10.24%
Statewide	3.95%	4.05%	4.12%

Each New York City borough’s 7-day average percentage of positive test results reported over the last three days is as follows:

Borough in NYC	Friday, November 26, 2021	Saturday, November 27, 2021	Sunday, November 28, 2021
Bronx	1.60%	1.73%	1.82%
Kings	1.60%	1.70%	1.70%
New York	1.30%	1.34%	1.37%
Queens	2.14%	2.34%	2.40%
Richmond	2.74%	2.98%	3.02%

Yesterday, 5,277 New Yorkers tested positive for COVID-19 in New York State, bringing the total to 2,696,277. A geographic breakdown is as follows:

County	Total Positive	New Positive
Albany	34,293	72
Allegany	5,951	22
Broome	28,142	86
Cattaraugus	9,932	34
Cayuga	9,680	27
Chautauqua	14,898	61
Chemung	12,781	41
Chenango	5,527	19
Clinton	8,063	46
Columbia	5,681	17
Cortland	6,073	20
Delaware	4,366	22
Dutchess	37,875	77
Erie	124,141	340
Essex	2,975	11
Franklin	5,386	21
Fulton	7,805	37
Genesee	8,576	20
Greene	4,917	6
Hamilton	512	1
Herkimer	8,273	45
Jefferson	11,301	64
Lewis	4,175	6
Livingston	7,172	40
Madison	7,321	36
Monroe	97,295	314
Montgomery	7,159	49
Nassau	225,634	452
Niagara	28,560	91
NYC	1,131,941	1,283
Oneida	33,056	106
Onondaga	59,188	131
Ontario	11,631	39
Orange	62,042	128
Orleans	5,457	23
Oswego	14,083	36
Otsego	5,342	21
Putnam	13,122	31
Rensselaer	17,336	76
Rockland	55,405	48
Saratoga	24,504	104
Schenectady	19,284	55
Schoharie	2,658	4
Schuyler	1,923	4
Seneca	3,223	23
St. Lawrence	12,754	30
Steuben	12,418	46
Suffolk	254,886	552
Sullivan	9,541	41
Tioga	6,325	28
Tompkins	7,372	13
Ulster	19,008	51
Warren	7,255	36
Washington	6,643	37
Wayne	10,172	57
Westchester	147,988	167
Wyoming	5,278	26
Yates	1,978	4

Yesterday, 41 New Yorkers died due to COVID-19, bringing the total compiled through HERDS to 46,484. A geographic breakdown is as follows, by county of residence:

New Deaths by  County of Residence
Albany	1
Allegany	2
Broome	1
Chautauqua	1
Clinton	1
Dutchess	2
Erie	6
Fulton	4
Kings	3
Manhattan	1
Monroe	3
Nassau	2
Niagara	1
Oneida	2
Onondaga	1
Otsego	1
Queens	2
Saratoga	1
Steuben	1
Suffolk	1
Ulster	1
Washington	1
Wyoming	1
Yates	1

All New York State mass vaccination sites are open to eligible New Yorkers aged 12 years and older for walk-in vaccination on a first-come, first-serve basis, with 10 sites open to eligible New Yorkers aged 5 and older. People who would prefer to schedule an appointment at a state-run mass vaccination site can do so on the Am I Eligible App or by calling 1-833-NYS-4-VAX. People may also contact their local health department, pharmacy, doctor or hospital to schedule appointments where vaccines are available, or visit vaccines.gov to find information on vaccine appointments near them.

New Yorkers looking to schedule vaccine appointments for 5-11-year-old children are encouraged to contact their child’s pediatrician, family physician, county health departments, Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs), rural health centers, or pharmacies that may be administering the vaccine for this age group. Parents and guardians can visit vaccines.gov, text their ZIP code to 438829, or call 1-800-232-0233 to find nearby locations. Make sure that the provider offers the Pfizer-BioNTechCOVID-19 vaccine, as the other COVID-19 vaccines are not yet authorized for this age group.

Visit our website for parents and guardians for new information, frequently asked questions and answers, and resources specifically designed for parents and guardians of this age group.

Yesterday, 10,803 New Yorkers received their first vaccine dose, and 11,346 completed their vaccine series. A geographic breakdown of New Yorkers who have been vaccinated by region is as follows:

	People with at least one vaccine dose	People with complete vaccine series
Region	Cumulative Total	Increase over past 24 hours	Cumulative Total	Increase over past 24 hours
Capital Region	798,899	556	717,343	438
Central New York	615,201	280	561,387	196
Finger Lakes	813,709	350	742,069	703
Long Island	2,008,272	1,247	1,779,616	1,589
Mid-Hudson	1,562,174	931	1,364,281	764
Mohawk Valley	308,856	146	283,557	140
New York City	7,191,846	6,571	6,390,337	6,464
North Country	286,797	105	255,866	82
Southern Tier	414,294	140	375,750	183
Western New York	893,545	477	806,559	787
Statewide	14,893,593	10,803	13,276,765	11,346

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WPCNR COVID SITUATION IN REAL TIME. From New York State Covid Tracker. Observations by John F. Bailey. November 27, 2021:

With cases building in the New York Metropolitan Area, New York Governor Kathy Hochul declared a State of Emergency Saturday.

“We’ve taken extraordinary action to prevent the spread of COVID-19 and combat this pandemic. However, we continue to see warning signs of spikes this upcoming winter, and while the new Omicron variant has yet to be detected in New York State, it’s coming,” Hochul said.

“In preparation, I am announcing urgent steps today to expand hospital capacity and help ensure our hospital systems can tackle any challenges posed by the pandemic as we head into the winter months,” the governor said. The order will be reassessed January 15.

In 13 of the last 17 days, the 9 suburban counties of New York City: Westchester County, Dutchess, Orange, Ulster, Putnam, Rockland, and Sullivan Counties, and Nassau and Suffolk counties have generated more new cases of covid than all five boroughs of New York City.

Friday was the first time in 5 days, the 9 counties were under the NYC total, 1,079 new covid positives, compared to 878 for the 9 suburban neighbors but this came from very small testing universe, 21,091 tests, yielding a 4.2% infection rate. .

On Thursday, Thanksgiving Day, Westchester and the 8 other suburban hot spots generated 1,447 new persons testing positive for covid, to New York City’s 1,358. It should be noted that the 9 counties have 5,374,770 people compared to New York City’s 8,804.

On Wednesday, Travel Day before Thanksgiving the 9 counties reported 2,013 new covid positive persons, to New York Cities 1,626. There is no question the suburban counties are putting the whole region at risk. The counties have lead New York City in infections in 13 of the last 17 days. Westchester alone has doubled cases every week for three weeks

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“We are closely monitoring the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.529, also known as the Omicron variant. The Department of Health’s Wadsworth Center Laboratory will continue to actively monitor COVID-19 virus samples selected from throughout New York State to compare sequences and identify circulating and new variants. While we have not yet identified any Omicron cases, we are not surprised that new variants are emerging and may likely end up in New York. We will continue to monitor WHO actions and work with our partners at the CDC to keep a close eye on developments.”

“I want to remind New Yorkers to continue taking the precautionary steps we know reduce the spread of this deadly virus: wear a mask in indoor public places, use proper hand hygiene, get tested, and stay home when sick. The vaccine also remains one of our greatest weapons in fighting the pandemic, and this news further emphasizes the need for each of us to get vaccinated and get the booster if you’re fully vaccinated.” 

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WPCNR CORONA VIRUS MONITOR. From the New York State Covid-19 Workbook. Observations by John F. Bailey. Thanksgiving Day, November 25, 2021:

On 11 of the last 14 days, the Mid-Hudson Region and Long Island counties have lead New York City in new cases of covid, despite having 60% less population.

The first two days of Thanksgiving week, Westchester, Orange, Dutchess, Ulster, Rockland, Putnam, and Sullivan Counties and Long Island Nassau and Suffolk Counties with a combined 9-County population of 5,274,770 people (2020 census) reported more infections than New York City’s 5 boroughs of 8,804,190 persons, dramatically demonstrating how suburbia is spreading and sustaining the Fourth Wave of coronavirus.

Monday, November 22, the 9 counties with greatly reduced tests, reported 1,198 new persons getting covid. All five boroughs of New York City reported 1,206 – just 8 more cases. With 3.5 million less people than New York City, the 9 suburban counties are spreading and continue to spread covid at the same rate.

Tuesday the 9 counties exceeded more cases than New York City. New York reported 1,469 new covid-infected positive tests, the suburban 9 counties, 1,655, 186 more cases for the suburbs. This is not good news at all.

On the numbers, Westchester County reported 158 infection Tuesday, November 23, , 2.2% of 7,245 tested, which is on target  for 1 new infected person spreading the disease to 2 other persons, based on the 82 infections on November 9.

County Executive George Latimer in his Covid Report Tuesday put hospitalizations at 40, an increase from 30 last week. He said the 2,700 hospital beds should be able to handle that rate of hospitalization. The worry obviously is how many of the 1,000 infections a week in Westchester alone will result in how many new hospitalizations, and how fast.

In two weeks the 158 persons testing positive  just Tuesday could conceivably result at (2 persons newly infected by 1 person), bring 300 new infections. Westchester averages 150 new positives a day over the last week, that is 1,050 new infections a week. The actual total from November 14 to 20 was 1,108.

In two weeks it is worrying that we might see 2,216 new infections based on the 1 person infecting 2 two-week spread rate.

Though infections are not as high as a year ago, that is the past. What is significant is our behavior now.

Mr. Latimer said Tuesday the vaccinations are stemming the persons getting infected but the next month will be crucial in limiting the spread of the disease and he urged care in socializations.

In a statement released Thanksgiving Day, County Executive Latimer wrote:

“Thanksgiving is a day where all of us, no matter our race or religion, gather – once again in person – to give thanks. These past nearly two years have been challenging for all of us, but in times of difficulty it is of paramount importance to take stock of what we do have to be thankful for. A bright future is ahead of us, and without the blessings we have already received that future could not be realized. I extend my warmest wishes for a Happy Thanksgiving to all Westchester County residents.”